Sprint plan likelihood
— Run the model to assess your plan
Evidence over estimates
Monte Carlo Forecaster
About this tool
Forecast with confidence, not certainty.
Use historic throughput or velocity to explore sprint and release outcomes. More data points usually produce a more useful model.
Results are statistical estimates, not delivery guarantees. Changing scope, team conditions and other real-world factors can affect outcomes.
02
Normal distribution model
Forecast output
What the data is telling youLikely sprint output
— at your selected confidenceRelease horizon
— at your selected confidenceSprint distribution
Simulated output frequencyRelease distribution
Simulated sprint count